The calculation
How this estimate works
The tool adds your cycle length to your last period to find the next one, then counts back by your luteal phase length to place ovulation. The fertile window is the five days before that date plus ovulation day, which is the span over which sperm can survive and still meet an egg.
Each day then carries the conception probability measured for that position in the window. The two days before ovulation score highest because sperm are already waiting when the egg arrives.